Research interests
- Applied Probability and Stochastic Modeling
- Stochastic Process limits
- Stochastic Control Theory
- Stochastic Stability and Ergodicity
- Mathematical Foundations of Data Science
- Stochastic Simulation and Numerical Methods
- Stochastic Networks and Queueing Systems
- Stochastic Epidemic Models
- Service Operations Management
- Financial Engineering, Econometrics, Risk Theory
Research grant support from Army Research Office (Probability and Statistics Program) W911NF-14-1-0019 (PI), W911NF-17-1-0019 (PI), NSF CMMI 1538149 (PI), NSF CMMI 1635410 (PI), NSF DMS-Applied Mathematics 1715875 (PI), and NSF DMS-Applied Mathematics 2108683/2216765 (PI) is gratefully acknowledged.
Stochastic Process Limits in Queueing and Other Probabilistic Models
One of my major interests is to develop new methods to prove scaling limits for various stochastic models. Many of the models are queueing systems and stochastic networks arising from complex service systems. Some recent work also includes shot noise processes and Hawkes process.
- Fluid Limits of Optimally Controlled Queueing Networks. (with Martin V. Day) Journal of Applied Mathematics and Stochastic Analysis. 2007, Article ID 68958, doi:10.1155/2007/68958 [PDF]
- Martingale Proofs of Many-Server Heavy-Traffic Limits for Markovian Queues. (with Rishi Talreja and Ward Whitt) Probability Surveys, Vol. 4, pp. 193-267, 2007. [PDF]
- Heavy-Traffic Limits for Many-Server Queues with Service Interruptions. (with Ward Whitt) Queueing Systems, Vol. 61, pp.167-202, 2009 [PDF]
- Heavy-Traffic Extreme Value Limits for Erlang Delay Models. (with Ward Whitt) Queueing Systems:Special Issue: 100 Years of Queueing - The Erlang Centennial 63: 13-32, 2009 [PDF]
- Continuity of a Queueing Integral Representation in the M1 Topology. (with Ward Whitt) Annals of Applied Probability, Vol. 20, No. 1, pp. 214-237, 2010. [PDF]
- Two-Parameter Heavy-Traffic Limits for Infinite-Server Queues. (with Ward Whitt) Queueing Systems, Vol. 65, pp. 325-364, 2010. [PDF]
Long Version [PDF]
- Infinite-server queues with batch arrivals and dependent service times. (with Ward Whitt) Probability in Engineering and Informational Sciences. Vol.26, pp.197-220, 2012 [PDF]
- Two-Parameter Heavy-Traffic Limits for Infinite-Server Queues with Dependent Service Times. (with Ward Whitt) Queueing Systems. Vol. 73, pp. 119-146, 2013 [PDF]
- Heavy-Traffic Limits for A Multiclass Many-Server Queueing Network with Switchovers. (with David Yao) Advances in Applied Probability. Vol. 45, pp. 645-672, 2013 [PDF]
- Gaussian Limits for a fork-join network with non-exchangeable synchronization in heavy traffic. (with Hongyuan Lu) Mathematics of Operations Research. Vol. 41, No. 2, 560 - 595, 2015 [PDF] MSOM 2014 Conference Abstract
[PDF]
- G/G/infinity queues with renewal alternating interruptions. (with Yuhang Zhou) Advances in Applied Probability Vol. 48, No. 3, pp.812-831, 2016. [PDF]
- G/GI/N(+GI) queues with service interruptions in the Halfin-Whitt regime. (with Hongyuan Lu and Yuhang Zhou) Mathematical Methods of Operations Research Vol. 83, No. 1, pp 127-160, 2016 [PDF]
- Heavy-traffic limits for a fork-join network in the Halfin-Whitt regime (with Hongyuan Lu) Stochastic Systems. Vol. 6, 519-600, 2016 [PDF] MSOM 2015 Conference Abstract
[PDF]
- A functional central limit theorem for Markov additive arrival processes and its applications in queueing systems. (with Hongyuan Lu and Michel Mandjes) Queueing Systems. Vol. 84, No. 3, 381-406, 2016. [PDF]
- Heavy-traffic limits for an infinite-server fork-join queueing system with dependent and disruptive services (with Hongyuan Lu) Queueing Systems. Vol. 85, No. 1, 67-115, 2017. [PDF]
- Two-parameter process limits for an infinite-server queue with arrival dependent service times (with Yuhang Zhou) Stochastic Processes and their Applications. Vol. 127, No. 5, 1375-1416, 2017 [PDF]
- On functional limit theorems for alternating renewal processes (with Jiankui Yang and Yuhang Zhou) Operations Research Letters. Vol. 45, No. 2, 145-150, 2017. [PDF]
- On the functional and local limit theorems for Markov modulated Compound Poisson processes (with Yi Zheng) Statistics and Probability Letters. Vol. 129, 131-140, 2017. [PDF]
- Functional limit theorems for a new class of non-stationary shot noise processes (with Yuhang Zhou) Stochastic Processes and their Applications.
Vol. 128, No. 2, 505-544, 2018. [PDF]
- Two-parameter process limits for infinite-server queues with dependent service times via chaining bounds (with Yuhang Zhou) Queueing Systems. Vol.88, No. 1-2, 1-25, 2018. [PDF]
- Equivalence of Fluid Models for G_t/GI/N+GI Queues (with Weining Kang)
Modeling, Stochastic Control, Optimization, and Applications (G. Yin and Q. Zhang, eds.). The IMA Volumes in Mathematics and its Applications. Vol. 164, 315-348, Springer, New York, 2019.
[PDF]
- Functional limit theorems for shot noise processes with weakly dependent noises (with Yuhang Zhou)
Stochastic Systems. Vol. 10, No. 2, 99-123, 2020
[PDF]
- Shot noise processes with randomly delayed cluster arrivals and dependent noises in the large intensity regime (with Bo Li)
Advances in Applied Probability. Vol. 53, No. 4 , 1190 -1221, 2021 [PDF]
- Functional limit theorems for nonstationary marked Hawkes processes in the high intensity regime (with Bo Li)
Stochastic Processes and their Applications. Vol. 143, 285-339, 2022 [PDF]
- On the splitting and aggregating of Hawkes processes
(with Bo Li) Journal of Applied Probability. Vol. 60, Issue 2, 676-692, 2023 [PDF]
- Heavy-traffic limits for parallel single-server queues with randomly split Hawkes arrival processes
(with Bo Li) Journal of Applied Probability. Vol. 61, Issue 2, 490-514, 2024
[PDF]
- Sample path moderate deviations for shot noise processes in the high intensity regime (with Sumith Reddy Anugu) Forthcoming in
Stochastic Processes and their Applications 2024 [PDF]
- Stochastic Volterra Integral Equations with Ranks
as Scaling Limits of Parallel Infinite-Server Queues under Weighted Shortest Queue Policy
(with Tomoyuki Ichiba) [PDF]
- Scaling limits for interactive Hawkes shot noise processes (with Bo Li) [PDF]
- Stochastic dynamics of two-compartment models with
regulatory mechanisms for hematopoiesis
(with Ren-Yi Wang, Marek Kimmel) [PDF]
- On sample path moderate deviation principles for random walks (with Sumith Reddy Anugu) [PDF]
- Sample-path moderate deviation principle for GI/GI/1+GI queues in the nearly critically loaded regime
(with Chang Feng and John Hasenbein) Forthcoming in Queueing Systems 2025 [PDF]
- Single server queues with state-dependent Hawkes arrivals (with Bo Li) [PDF]
- Two-parameter process limits for many-server queues via the chaining bounds (with Yuhang Zhou)
[PDF]
- Fluid limit of a many-server queueing network with abandonment and Markovian routing (with Weining Kang) [PDF]
Optimal Control of Stochastic Networks and Stochastic Control Theory
We have worked on ergodic control problems of multiclass multi-pool networks (also called parallel-server networks) in the Halfin-Whitt regime. In order to tackle these problems, we have developed a new framework of ergodic control of (jump) diffusions.
- Ergodic Control of Multiclass M/M/N+M Queues in the Halfin-Whitt Regime. (with Ari Arapostathis and Anup Biswas) Annals of Applied Probability. Vol.25, No.6, 3511-3570. 2015. [PDF]
- Ergodic diffusion control of multiclass multi-pool networks in the Halfin-Whitt regime. (with Ari Arapostathis) Annals of Applied Probability. Vol. 26, No. 5, 3110-3153, 2016 [PDF]
- Infinite horizon average optimality of the N-network in the Halfin-Whitt regime (with Ari Arapostathis) Mathematics of Operations Research. Vol.43, No.3, 838-866, 2018 [PDF]
- Infinite horizon asymptotic average optimality for large-scale parallel server networks (with Ari Arapostathis) Stochastic Processes and their Applications.
Vol. 129, No. 1, 283-322, 2019, [PDF]
- Ergodic control of a class of jump diffusions with finite Levy measures and rough kernels
(with Ari Arapostathis, Luis Caffarelli and Yi Zheng) SIAM Journal on Control and Optimization. Vol. 52, No. 2, 1516-1540, 2019.
[PDF]
- Optimal control of Markov-modulated multiclass many-server queues (with Ari Arapostathis, Anirban Das and Yi Zheng)
Stochastic Systems. Vol. 9, No. 2, 155-181, 2019
[PDF]
- Ergodic control of diffusions with compound Poisson jumps under a general structural hypothesis (with Ari Arapostathis and Yi Zheng)
Stochastic Processes and their Applications Vol. 130, No. 11, 6733-6756, 2020 [PDF]
- Optimal scheduling of critically loaded multiclass GI/M/n+M
queues in an alternating renewal environment (with Ari Arapostathis and Yi Zheng) Applied Mathematics and Optimization. Vol. 84, No. 2, 1857-1901, 2021 [PDF]
- Adaptive service rate control of an M/M/1 queue with server breakdowns (with Yi Zheng and Juxihong Julaiti)
Queueing Systems Vol. 106, 159-191, 2024 [PDF]
- On the global convergence of relative value iteration for infinite-horizon risk-sensitive control of diffusions
(with Ari Arapostathis and Hassan Hmedi)
Systems and Control Letters Vol. 171, 2023
[PDF]
- Ergodic risk sensitive control of Markovian multiclass many-server queues with abandonment (with Sumith Reddy Anugu) Accepted in Annals of Applied Probability 2025 [PDF]
- Ergodic risk sensitive control of diffusions under a general structural hypothesis (with Sumith Reddy Anugu) [PDF]
- New relative value iteration algorithms for the ergodic risk-sensitive control of Markov chains (with Sumith Reddy Anugu and Nicola Sassone) [PDF]
- Ergodic risk sensitive control of large-scale parallel server
networks with abandonment (with Sumith Reddy Anugu) [PDF]
Ergodic Properties of Queueing Models, Stochastic Networks and Other Systems
- Ergodicity and fluctuations of a fluid particle driven by diffusions with jumps. (with Nikola Sandric) Communications in Mathematical Sciences Vol. 14, No. 2, pp. 327-362, 2015 [PDF]
- Ergodicity of Levy-driven SDEs arising from multiclass many-server queues (with Ari Arapostathis and Nikola Sandric) Annals of Applied Probability. Vol. 29, No. 2, 1070-1126, 2019 [PDF]
- Uniform polynomial rates of convergence for a class of Levy-driven controlled SDEs arising in multiclass many-server queues
(with Ari Arapostathis, Hassan Hmedi and Nikola Sandric)
Modeling, Stochastic Control, Optimization, and Applications (G. Yin and Q. Zhang, eds.). The IMA Volumes in Mathematics and its Applications. Vol. 164, 1-20, Springer, New York, 2019.
[PDF]
- Stationary distributions and convergence for M/M/1 queues in interactive random environment
(with Andrey Sarantsev, Yana Belopolskaya, and Yuri Suhov)
Queueing Systems. Vol. 94, 357-392, 2020
[PDF]
- Transient behaviors of single-server queues with diffusive rates
(with Andrey Sarantsev and Yuri Suhov) [a followup short note of the paper above]
Queueing Systems Vol. 100 Special Issue: 100 views on queues
[PDF]
- On uniform exponential ergodicity of Markovian multiclass many-server queues in the Halfin-Whitt regime
(with Ari Arapostathis and Hassan Hmedi)
Mathematics of Operations Research. Vol. 46, No, 2, 405--833, 2021 [PDF]
- Exponential ergodicity and steady-state approximations for a class of Markov processes under fast regime switching (with Ari Arapostathis and Yi Zheng)
Advances in Applied Probability. Vol. 53, No, 1, 1-29, 2021 [PDF]
- Uniform stability of some large-scale parallel server networks (with Ari Arapostathis and Hassan Hmedi) Queueing Systems. Vol. 102, 509-552, 2022
[PDF]
- Subexponential upper and lower bounds in Wasserstein distance for Markov processes (with Ari Arapostathis and Nikola Sandric)
Applied Mathematics and Optimization. Vol. 85, 2022 [PDF]
-
An approximation to the invariant measure of the limiting diffusion of G/Ph/n+GI queues in the Halfin-Whitt regime and related asymptotics
(with Xinghu Jin, Lihu Xu and Xin Xu) Forthcoming in
Mathematics of Operations Research [PDF]
- Birth-death processes in interactive random environments
(with Andrey Sarantsev and Yuri Suhov) Queueing Systems. (Special issue in honour of Masakiyo Miyazawa-75) Vol. 102, 269-307, 2022
[PDF]
- Unbiased approximation of the ergodic measure for piecewise alpha-stable Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes arising in queueing networks (with Xinghu Jin, Yu Wang and Lihu Xu) [PDF]
- On the ergodic properties and invariant measure of a two-dimensional reflected Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process (with Dongzhou Huang) [PDF]
- Queueing models with random resetting (with Izabella Stuhl and Yuri Suhov) [PDF]
Stochastic Models in Epidemiology
We have developed probabilistic approaches to study individual based non-Markov epidemic models.
In addition to the standard models, we have further developed stochastic epidemic models with varying infectivity or infection-age dependent infectivity, infection-age dependent recovery rate, varying susceptibility and waning immunity.
We have also worked on spatial epidemic models, and epidemic models on large random graphs.
- Functional limit theorems for non-Markovian epidemic models (with Etienne Pardoux)
Annals of Applied Probability. Vol. 32, No. 3, 1615-1665, 2022 [PDF]
- Estimating the state of the Covid-19 epidemic in France using a model with memory (with Raphael Forien and Etienne Pardoux)
Royal Society Open Science. Vol. 8, No. 3, 2021 [PDF]
- Epidemic models with varying infectivity (with Raphael Forien and Etienne Pardoux)
SIAM Journal on Applied Mathematics. Vol. 81, No. 5, 1893-1930, 2021 [PDF]
- Functional central limit theorems for epidemic models with varying infectivity (with Etienne Pardoux) Stochastics Vol. 95, Issue 5, 819-866, 2023 [PDF]
- Multi-patch epidemic models with general exposed and infectious periods (with Etienne Pardoux)
ESAIM: Probability and Statistics Vol. 27, 345-401, 2023
[PDF]
- Functional law of large numbers and PDEs for epidemic models with infection-age dependent infectivity (with Etienne Pardoux)
Applied Mathematics and Optimization Vol. 87, article 50, 2023 [PDF]
- Recent advances in epidemic modeling: non-Markov stochastic models and their scaling limits
(with Raphael Forien and Etienne Pardoux) Forthcoming in
The Graduate Journal of Mathematics (A publication of the Mediterranean Institute for the Mathematical Sciences) Vol. 7, Issue 2, 19-75, 2022 [PDF]
- Multi-patch multi-group epidemic model with varying infectivity
(with Raphael Forien and Etienne Pardoux) Probability, Uncertainty and Quantitative Risk (Special issue dedicated to Alain Bensoussan on the occasion of his 80th birthday) Vol. 7, No. 4, 333-364, 2022 [PDF]
- Stochastic epidemic models with varying infectivity and waning immunity
(with Raphael Forien, Etienne Pardoux and Arsene Brice Zotsa-Ngoufack) Forthcoming in Annals of Applied Probability 2025 [PDF]
- PDE model for multipatch epidemic model with migration and infection-age dependent infectivity
(with Etienne Pardoux)
Pure and Applied Functional Analysis (Special issue "Control, Systems Theory and Related Topics"
Dedicated to the memory of Professor Wendell H. Fleming) Vol. 9, No. 3, 863-897, 2024 [PDF]
- Spatially dense stochastic epidemic models with infection-age dependent infectivity
(with Etienne Pardoux) [PDF]
- SPDE for stochastic SIR epidemic models with infection-age dependent infectivity
(with Etienne Pardoux) [PDF]
- Stochastic SIR model with individual heterogeneity and infection-age dependent infectivity on large non-homogeneous random graphs (with Etienne Pardoux and Aurelien Velleret) [PDF]
Generalized fractional Brownian motion
We have introduced a new generalized fractional Brownian motion (GFBM), which is a self-similar Gaussian process but with non-stationary increments. We have studied some fundamental path properties, as well as the semimartingale properties.
We are exploring its applications in financial models, in particular, rough volatility and nonstationary queueing systems.
- Non-stationary self-similar Gaussian processes as scaling limits of power-law shot noise processes and generalizations of fractional Brownian motion (with Murad S. Taqqu) High Frequency. (Special issue in honor of Larry Shepp) Vol. 2, No. 2, 95-112, 2019 [PDF]
- Path Properties of a Generalized Fractional Brownian Motion (with Tomoyuki Ichiba and Murad Taqqu)
Journal of Theoretical Probability Vol. 35, No. 1, 550-574, 2022 [PDF]
- Semimartingale properties of a generalized fractional Brownian motion and its mixtures with applications in asset pricing (with Tomoyuki Ichiba and Murad Taqqu) Forthcoming in
Finance and Stochastics 2024 [PDF]
- Large deviations and long time behavior of stochastic fluid queues with generalized fractional Brownian motion input (with Sumith Reddy Anugu)
Queueing Systems Vol. 105, 47-98, 2023 [PDF]
Service Operations Management
Modern service systems tend to be large and require sophisticated operational strategies, for example, customer contact centers with multi-class calls and multiple pools of agents, and hospitals with patient flows in many diagnosis and treatment centers. Large-scale service systems have the advantage of economy of scale, providing the possibility for achieving both high quality of service and high efficiency if they are well managed. The complexity of such systems also presents challenges for decision making in many perspectives, including capacity allocation, scheduling and revenue management.
- Service Interruptions in Large-Scale Service Systems. (with Ward Whitt) Management Science 55(9), pp.1499-1512, 2009 [PDF]
- The impact of dependent service times on large-scale service systems. (with Ward Whitt) Manufacturing & Service Operations Management.
Vol.14, No.2, 262-278, 2012 [PDF], MSOM 2012 Conference Abstract [PDF]
- A logarithmic safety staffing rule for contact centers with call blending. (with Ohad Perry)
Management Science. Vol.61, No.1, pp. 73-91, 2015 [PDF] , MSOM 2013 Conference Abstract [PDF]
- A service system with on-demand agent invitations. (with Alexander Stolyar) Queueing Systems. Vol. 82, No. 3, pp 259-283, 2016 [PDF]
-
System-wide safety staffing of large-scale parallel server networks (with Ari Arapostathis and Hassan Hmedi)
Operations Research. 71(2):415-432, 2023 [PDF]
- Physiology-based anticipative ICU management (with M. Yasin Ulukus, Andrew J. Schaefer and Gilles M. Clermont) Submitted. MSOM 2014 Conference Abstract [PDF]
- Acuity-Based Allocation of ICU-Downstream Beds with Flexible Staffing
(with Silviya Valeva, Andrew Schaefer and Gills Clermont)
INFORMS Journal on Computing Vol. 35, Issue 2, 403-422, 2023 [PDF]
- Preference based scheduling in a healthcare provider network
(with D. Agrawal and S. Kumara)
European Journal of Operations Research Vol. 307, Issue 3, 1318-1335, 2023 [PDF]